Recently when my family went on a group field trip to a pumpkin picking dairy farm tour, the weather forecast was iffy. I woke up during the night before, checked the weather, and emailed the organizer with what I thought about the day's weather, including a screen capture of the future radar.
When I woke up, she had send an email hesitating about canceling the trip or not, so I checked the weather forecast again and emailed her my best guess, including that I thought we could chance it and maybe get some sprinkles (so be ready with raingear) but that we might be able to dodge the heaviest passing showers during the lunch break.
...and despite some anxious moments, it all turned out and we had a great time. (Er... I'm not saying I'm as accurate all the time, mind you )
This morning. I woke up and was glad I had brought inside all the potted plants that I expected to be frost sensitive, but was not happy that the actual temperature was 31Ã‚ÂºF instead of the forecasted mid-30's for my zip code (ranging from 34-38Ã‚ÂºF depending on weather station):roll:
It was a reminder, once again, that in times of near-frosty weather, I have to subtract at least 3Ã‚ÂºF from the forecast.
Unfortunately, the "slightly cooler than forecast" doesn't seem to apply in the summer heat.
How do the rest of you compensate for the weather forecast? Do you follow a rule-of-thumb?